Reply To: Monte Carlo simulation summary results

[_nikkatorres]

Hi, I’m running Monte Carlo for extreme events and sometimes there are unreliable values. What does “ie bound by interval contributions to AEP > 20% total” mean?

ex: I ran 200yr, 500yr, 1000yr, 2000yr, 5000yr, 10 000yr, and 20 000yr. Only 2000yr was reliable

Peak flows for selected AEPs (* indicates value unreliable, ie bounded by interval contributions to AEP > 20% total)

No. AEP(1inY) Peak 01
1 500 475.43*
2 1000 484.84*
3 2000 551.69
4 5000 701.04*
5 10000 841.63*

Any general advice as to how I can always ensure that my values are reliable?

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